![]() Linas, professor of medicine at Boston University School of Medicine The team’s projections are updated weekly by incorporating vaccination rates and social-distancing measures in each state, and the latest results can be found at the simulator website. ![]() In contrast, the projected number of COVID-19-related deaths would remain below 200 in New Jersey, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Vermont, and Rhode Island. It projected approximately 20,700 delta-related deaths in Texas, 16,000 in California, 12,400 in Florida, 12,000 in North Carolina, and 9,300 in Georgia. Its analysis, published on the preprint server medRxiv, showed an additional 157,000 COVID-19-related deaths could occur across the U.S. The researchers applied the tool to potential scenarios in which the COVID-19 delta variant becomes dominant in every state. at the state and national levels - the combination of variant’s high transmissibility, low vaccination coverage in several regions, and more relaxed attitudes toward social distancing will likely lead to a surge in COVID-19–related deaths in at least 40 states.Īnd if current social distancing behaviors and vaccination rates remain unchanged, the simulator predicts that in several states, daily COVID-19–related deaths could exceed the peak seen in early 2021. As delta surges, what can we expect if vaccination and mask-wearing rates don’t change?Īccording to investigators who previously developed the COVID-19 Simulator - which models the trajectory of the illness in the U.S.
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